WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group K · Match 23

PortugalvsDR Congo

your time · Wed 17 Jun, 12:00 GMT-5 at the venue

NRG Stadium, Houston, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
56.0% Portugal26.2% draw17.8% DR Congo

Expected goals 1.56 – 0.76

Rating

What's driving this: Portugal hold a decisive rating edge — +278 Elo over DR Congo.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Portugal 1989.2 · DR Congo 1711.4
    Portugal +278 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Portugal #5 · DR Congo #46
  • Recent form
    Portugal 4W-1D-1L · DR Congo 3W-2D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Portugal
WLDWWW
DR Congo
WLWDWD

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.