WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group L · Match 22

EnglandvsCroatia

your time · Wed 17 Jun, 15:00 GMT-5 at the venue

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
43.9% England28.9% draw27.2% Croatia

Expected goals 1.30 – 0.96

Rating

What's driving this: England have a moderate rating edge (+94 Elo).

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    England 2035.8 · Croatia 1942.3
    England +94 · moderate
  • FIFA ranking
    England #4 · Croatia #11
  • Recent form
    England 6W-0D-0L · Croatia 5W-1D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
England
WWWWWW
Croatia
WWWDWW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.