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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
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← All matchdays

Saturday 13 June

Recap

3 matches · Group stage

← Friday 12 JuneSunday 14 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Qatar and Switzerland drew 1-1. The model gave the draw 23%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • United States4–1ParaguayCalled itUnited States 44.4%
  • Qatar1–1SwitzerlandMissedhad Switzerland at 57.6%
  • Brazil1–1MoroccoMissedhad Brazil at 41.3%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+88.7 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−9.7 pts
  • Brazil−7.2 pts
  • France−6.6 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Sunday 14 June
  • Haiti vs Scotlandodds pending
  • Australia vs Turkeyodds pending
  • Germany vs Curaçaoodds pending
  • Netherlands vs Japanodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Sat 13 Jun, 01:00 UTC· InglewoodFinalGroup D
United States

4–1

Paraguay
USA
4–1
PARFT
Sat 13 Jun, 19:00 UTC· Santa ClaraFinal
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
odds pending
Group B
Qatar

1–1

Switzerland
QAT
1–1
SUIFT
Sat 13 Jun, 22:00 UTC· East RutherfordFinalGroup C
Brazil

1–1

Morocco
BRA
1–1
MARFT