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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Friday 12 June

Recap

2 matches · Group stage

← Thursday 11 JuneSaturday 13 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Canada and Bosnia and Herzegovina drew 1-1. The model gave the draw 22%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • South Korea2–1Czech RepublicCalled itSouth Korea 40.6%
  • Canada1–1Bosnia and HerzegovinaMissedhad Canada at 61.1%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+88.7 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−9.7 pts
  • Brazil−7.2 pts
  • France−6.6 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Saturday 13 June
  • United States vs Paraguayodds pending
  • Qatar vs Switzerlandodds pending
  • Brazil vs Moroccoodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Fri 12 Jun, 02:00 UTC· ZapopanFinalGroup A
South Korea

2–1

Czech Republic
KOR
2–1
CZEFT
Fri 12 Jun, 19:00 UTC· TorontoFinal
Group B
Canada

1–1

Bosnia and Herzegovina
CAN
1–1
BIHFT