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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Thursday 11 June

Recap

1 match · Group stage

← PrevFriday 12 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Mexico beat South Africa 2-0, a win the model had at 63%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Mexico2–0South AfricaCalled itMexico 63.1%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+89.1 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−9.6 pts
  • Brazil−7.0 pts
  • France−6.6 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Friday 12 June
  • South Korea vs Czech Republicodds pending
  • Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovinaodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Thu 11 Jun, 19:00 UTC· Mexico CityFinalGroup A
Mexico

2–0

South Africa
MEX
2–0
RSAFT