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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
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Group stage · Group A · Match 1

MexicovsSouth Africa

2 – 0Full time

Thu 11 Jun, 19:00 UTC your time · Thu 11 Jun, 13:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio Azteca, Mexico City, Mexico

Final result

full time
Mexico2 – 0South Africa

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Mexico
  • Julián Quiñonesgoal
  • Raúl Jiménezgoal
South Africa

none

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    15.2%
  • 2-0
    13.6%
  • 1-1
    10.8%
  • 0-0
    9.2%
  • 2-1
    9.1%
  • 3-0
    7.9%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 64%Possession36%
  • 6Shots1
  • 2On target1
  • 1Corners0
  • 7Fouls5
  • 1Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
2 Mexico1 draw1 South Africa

4 meetings · goals 10–5

  • 2010-06-11wc finals1–1draw
  • 2005-07-08continental finals1–2South Africa
  • 2000-06-07minor tournament4–2Mexico
  • 1993-10-06friendly4–0Mexico
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 1Red cards2
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.