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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group F · Match 11

NetherlandsvsJapan

2 – 2Full time

Sun 14 Jun, 20:00 UTC your time · Sun 14 Jun, 15:00 GMT-5 at the venue

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, United States

Final result

full time
Netherlands2 – 2Japan

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Netherlands
  • Crysencio Summervillegoal
  • Virgil van Dijkgoal
Japan
  • Daichi Kamadagoal
  • Keito Nakamuragoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    12.3%
  • 2-1
    8.6%
  • 1-0
    8.3%
  • 1-2
    8.1%
  • 0-1
    7.8%
  • 0-0
    6.4%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 6Shots7
  • 4On target3
  • 2Corners3
  • 4Fouls4
  • 1Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
2 Netherlands1 draw0 Japan

3 meetings · goals 6–2

  • 2013-11-16friendly2–2draw
  • 2010-06-19wc finals1–0Netherlands
  • 2009-09-05friendly3–0Netherlands
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.