WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group F · Match 11

NetherlandsvsJapan

your time · Sun 14 Jun, 15:00 GMT-5 at the venue

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
39.0% Netherlands25.9% draw35.1% Japan

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.36

Rating

What's driving this: Netherlands have a slight rating edge (+37 Elo).

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Netherlands 1986.5 · Japan 1949.2
    Netherlands +37 · slight
  • FIFA ranking
    Netherlands #7 · Japan #18
  • Recent form
    Netherlands 4W-2D-0L · Japan 4W-1D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Netherlands
WDWWWD
Japan
WLDWWW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.