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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
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← All matchdays

Sunday 28 June

Recap

3 matches · Group stage · Round of 32

← Saturday 27 JuneMonday 29 June →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Algeria and Austria drew 3-3. The model gave the draw 28%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Algeria3–3AustriaMissedhad Algeria at 37.0%
  • Jordan1–3ArgentinaCalled itArgentina 65.5%
  • South Africa0–1CanadaCalled itCanada 50.4%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+88.7 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−12.7 pts
  • France−8.0 pts
  • Brazil−7.0 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Monday 29 June
  • Brazil vs Japanodds pending
  • Germany vs Paraguayodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Sun 28 Jun, 02:00 UTC· Kansas CityFinalGroup J
Algeria

3–3

Austria
ALG
3–3
AUTFT
Sun 28 Jun, 02:00 UTC· ArlingtonFinal
Group J
Jordan

1–3

Argentina
JOR
1–3
ARGFT
Sun 28 Jun, 19:00 UTC· InglewoodFinalRound of 32
South Africa

0–1

Canada
RSA
0–1
CANFT