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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 32 · Match 74

GermanyvsParaguay

1 – 1Full time

Mon 29 Jun, 20:30 UTC your time · Mon 29 Jun, 16:30 GMT-4 at the venue

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, United States

Final result

full time
Germany1 – 1Paraguay

Paraguay advance on penalties (3–4)

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Germany
  • Kai Havertzgoal
Paraguay
  • Julio Encisogoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    12.8%
  • 1-1
    12.8%
  • 2-0
    9.7%
  • 0-0
    9.4%
  • 2-1
    9.1%
  • 0-1
    8.1%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 3Shots0
  • 2On target0
  • 3Corners1
  • 3Fouls3
  • 0Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
1 Germany1 draw0 Paraguay

2 meetings · goals 4–3

  • 2013-08-14friendly3–3draw
  • 2002-06-15wc finals1–0Germany
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.