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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 32 · Match 76

BrazilvsJapan

2 – 1Full time

Mon 29 Jun, 17:00 UTC your time · Mon 29 Jun, 12:00 GMT-5 at the venue

NRG Stadium, Houston, United States

Final result

full time
Brazil2 – 1Japan

Brazil advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Brazil
  • Casemirogoal
  • Gabriel Martinelligoal
Japan
  • Kaishu Sanogoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    12.7%
  • 1-0
    10.5%
  • 2-1
    9.0%
  • 0-1
    8.0%
  • 2-0
    8.0%
  • 0-0
    7.8%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 70%Possession30%
  • 11Shots1
  • 5On target1
  • 4Corners0
  • 3Fouls7
  • 0Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
11 Brazil2 draw1 Japan

14 meetings · goals 37–8

  • 2025-10-14minor tournament2–3Japan
  • 2022-06-06friendly1–0Brazil
  • 2017-11-10friendly3–1Brazil
  • 2014-10-14friendly4–0Brazil
  • 2013-06-15confederations cup3–0Brazil
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.