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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Sunday 12 July

Recap

1 match · Quarter-finals

← Saturday 11 JulyMonday 13 July →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Argentina beat Switzerland 3-1, a win the model had at 53%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Argentina3–1SwitzerlandCalled itArgentina 52.5%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+69.0 pts
Fallers
  • England−22.8 pts
  • France−22.5 pts
  • Argentina−18.9 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Tuesday 14 July
  • France vs Spainodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Sun 12 Jul, 01:00 UTC· Kansas CityFinalQuarter-finals
Argentina

3–1

Switzerland
ARG
3–1
SUIFT