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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
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Semi-final · Match 101

FrancevsSpain

0 – 2Full time

Tue 14 Jul, 19:00 UTC your time · Tue 14 Jul, 14:00 GMT-5 at the venue

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, United States

Final result

full time
France0 – 2Spain

Spain advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
France

none

Spain
  • Mikel Oyarzabalgoal
  • Pedro Porrogoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    13.1%
  • 0-1
    10.8%
  • 1-0
    8.9%
  • 1-2
    8.7%
  • 0-0
    8.6%
  • 0-2
    7.7%

Head to head

historical meetings
13 France7 draw18 Spain

38 meetings · goals 44–71

  • 2025-06-05nations league4–5Spain
  • 2024-07-09continental finals1–2Spain
  • 2021-10-10nations league2–1France
  • 2017-03-28friendly0–2Spain
  • 2014-09-04friendly1–0France