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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Quarter-final · Match 100

ArgentinavsSwitzerland

3 – 1Full time

Sun 12 Jul, 01:00 UTC your time · Sat 11 Jul, 20:00 GMT-5 at the venue

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, United States

Final result

full time
Argentina3 – 1Switzerland

Argentina advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Argentina
  • Alexis Mac Allistergoal
  • Julián Álvarezgoal
  • Lautaro Martínezgoal
Switzerland
  • Dan Ndoyegoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    13.9%
  • 1-1
    12.5%
  • 2-0
    10.8%
  • 0-0
    9.8%
  • 2-1
    9.2%
  • 0-1
    7.6%

Head to head

historical meetings
5 Argentina2 draw0 Switzerland

7 meetings · goals 15–3

  • 2014-07-01wc finals1–0Argentina
  • 2012-02-29friendly3–1Argentina
  • 2007-06-02friendly1–1draw
  • 1990-05-08friendly1–1draw
  • 1984-09-01friendly2–0Argentina