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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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← All matchdays

Tuesday 7 July

Recap

3 matches · Round of 16

← Monday 6 JulyWednesday 8 July →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Switzerland and Colombia drew 0-0. The model gave the draw 28%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • United States1–4BelgiumCalled itBelgium 40.1%
  • Argentina3–2EgyptCalled itArgentina 55.3%
  • Switzerland0–0ColombiaMissedhad Colombia at 41.5%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+77.6 pts
Fallers
  • England−16.3 pts
  • France−15.2 pts
  • Argentina−14.2 pts

What the model is watching

next matchday: Thursday 9 July
  • France vs Moroccoodds pending

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Tue 7 Jul, 00:00 UTC· SeattleFinalRound of 16
United States

1–4

Belgium
USA
1–4
BELFT
Tue 7 Jul, 16:00 UTC· AtlantaFinal
Round of 16
Argentina

3–2

Egypt
ARG
3–2
EGYFT
Tue 7 Jul, 20:00 UTC· VancouverFinalRound of 16
Switzerland

0–0

Colombia
SUI
0–0
COLFT