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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 16 · Match 94

United StatesvsBelgium

1 – 4Full time

Tue 7 Jul, 00:00 UTC your time · Mon 6 Jul, 17:00 GMT-7 at the venue

Lumen Field, Seattle, United States

Final result

full time
United States1 – 4Belgium

Belgium advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
United States
  • Malik Tillmangoal
Belgium
  • Charles De Ketelaere2 goals
  • Hans Vanakengoal
  • Romelu Lukakugoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    11.9%
  • 1-2
    8.7%
  • 0-1
    8.0%
  • 2-1
    8.0%
  • 1-0
    7.3%
  • 0-2
    6.3%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 64%Possession36%
  • 4Shots4
  • 1On target2
  • 2Corners2
  • 6Fouls5
  • 0Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
1 United States0 draw7 Belgium

8 meetings · goals 8–22

  • 2026-03-28friendly2–5Belgium
  • 2014-07-01wc finals1–2Belgium
  • 2013-05-29friendly2–4Belgium
  • 2011-09-06friendly0–1Belgium
  • 1998-02-25friendly0–2Belgium
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.