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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 16 · Match 95

ArgentinavsEgypt

3 – 2Full time

Tue 7 Jul, 16:00 UTC your time · Tue 7 Jul, 12:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, United States

Final result

full time
Argentina3 – 2Egypt

Argentina advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Argentina
  • Cristian Romerogoal
  • Enzo Fernándezgoal
  • Lionel Messigoal
Egypt
  • Mostafa Zikogoal
  • Yasser Ibrahimgoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    18.4%
  • 0-0
    14.0%
  • 2-0
    13.0%
  • 1-1
    11.9%
  • 0-1
    8.0%
  • 2-1
    8.0%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 68%Possession32%
  • 12Shots3
  • 4On target1
  • 5Corners0
  • 5Fouls6
  • 1Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
2 Argentina0 draw0 Egypt

2 meetings · goals 8–0

  • 2008-03-26friendly2–0Argentina
  • 1928-06-06minor tournament6–0Argentina
  • 0Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.