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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
← All matchdays

Sunday 19 July

Recap

1 match · Final

← Saturday 18 JulyNext →

Briefing

Generated from the model's published runs

Headline

Spain beat Argentina 1-0, a win the model had at 37%.

Result recap

vs the pre-matchday run
  • Spain1–0ArgentinaCalled itSpain 36.6%

Biggest movers

champion odds, percentage points
Risers
  • Spain+49.7 pts
Fallers
  • Argentina−49.7 pts

What the model is watching

Pending

The fixtures the forecast is most sensitive to, once the next matchday is known.

Scheduled matches

Times in your local timezone
Sun 19 Jul, 19:00 UTC· East RutherfordFinalFinal
Spain

1–0

Argentina
ESP
1–0
ARGFT