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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Final · Match 104

SpainvsArgentina

1 – 0Full time

Sun 19 Jul, 19:00 UTC your time · Sun 19 Jul, 15:00 GMT-4 at the venue

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States

Final result

full time
Spain1 – 0Argentina

Spain advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Spain
  • Ferran Torresgoal
Argentina

none

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    13.4%
  • 1-0
    10.4%
  • 0-1
    10.1%
  • 0-0
    9.1%
  • 2-1
    8.0%
  • 1-2
    7.8%

Head to head

historical meetings
6 Spain2 draw6 Argentina

14 meetings · goals 19–18

  • 2018-03-27friendly6–1Spain
  • 2010-09-07friendly1–4Argentina
  • 2009-11-14friendly2–1Spain
  • 2006-10-11friendly2–1Spain
  • 1999-11-17friendly0–2Argentina