PresairaWorld Cup 2026

Forecast Matches Groups Predict Players

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

Forecast
Matches
Groups
Predict
Players

Ivory Coast

Group EFIFA #34Elo 1776

Model elo-dc-v1.0 · 50,000 simulations · conditioned on 104 result(s) · Updated 19 Jul 2026

Ivory Coast

WLW

After last night

ESP>99.9%+49.7%

ARG<0.1%-49.7%

Eliminatedout of title contention

Title odds

champion → group

Champion<0.1%share of simulations this team lifts the trophy

Reach the final
<0.1%
Reach the semi-finals
<0.1%
Reach the quarter-finals
<0.1%
Advance from the group
>99.9%

Each figure is a stage-reach share. What these numbers mean

Group E

projected finish

2

2nd place

single most-likely finish

>99%

qualify

1Germany>99%
2Ivory Coast>99%
3Ecuador>99%
4Curaçao<1%

Win group <1%Full Group E table ↗

Fixtures & results

group stage · model odds, final scores once played

Sun 14 Jun, 23:00 UTCSun 14 Jun, 19:00 GMT-4 · Philadelphia

Sat 20 Jun, 20:00 UTCSat 20 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 · Toronto

Ivory Coast2–1

Thu 25 Jun, 20:00 UTCThu 25 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 · Philadelphia

Ivory Coast0–2

Kickoffs show your local time and the venue-local time. Open any match for the full breakdown.

Probabilistic odds, not predictions of certainty (conditioned on 104 result(s)). How the forecast is built. Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.

Projected knockout path & head-to-head history: coming with the knockout draw and the national-team results corpus.