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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group E · Match 55

CuraçaovsIvory Coast

0 – 2Full time

Thu 25 Jun, 20:00 UTC your time · Thu 25 Jun, 16:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, United States

Final result

full time
Curaçao0 – 2Ivory Coast

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
22.2% Curaçao27.4% draw50.3% Ivory Coast

Expected goals 0.87 – 1.46

Rating

What's driving this: Ivory Coast hold a decisive rating edge: +225 Elo over Curaçao.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Curaçao22.2%draw27.4%Ivory Coast50.3%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Curaçao 1566.8 · Ivory Coast 1791.2
    Ivory Coast +225 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Curaçao #82 · Ivory Coast #34
  • Recent form
    Curaçao 3W-3D-0L · Ivory Coast 4W-1D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 0-1
    13.8%
  • 1-1
    12.8%
  • 0-2
    10.3%
  • 0-0
    10.1%
  • 1-2
    9.0%
  • 1-0
    8.1%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Curaçao
DWDWWD
Ivory Coast
LWWDWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 43%Possession57%
  • 6Shots3
  • 1On target2
  • 1Corners4
  • 4Fouls2
  • 2Offsides1
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.