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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Semi-final · Match 102

EnglandvsArgentina

1 – 2Full time

Wed 15 Jul, 19:00 UTC your time · Wed 15 Jul, 15:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, United States

Final result

full time
England1 – 2Argentina

Argentina advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
England
  • Anthony Gordongoal
Argentina
  • Enzo Fernándezgoal
  • Lautaro Martínezgoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    13.8%
  • 0-1
    13.8%
  • 0-0
    12.6%
  • 1-0
    11.1%
  • 0-2
    8.3%
  • 1-2
    7.8%

Head to head

historical meetings
6 England6 draw3 Argentina

15 meetings · goals 22–18

  • 2005-11-12friendly3–2England
  • 2002-06-07wc finals1–0England
  • 2000-02-23friendly0–0draw
  • 1998-06-30wc finals2–2draw
  • 1991-05-25friendly2–2draw