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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 16 · Match 93

PortugalvsSpain

0 – 1Full time

Mon 6 Jul, 19:00 UTC your time · Mon 6 Jul, 14:00 GMT-5 at the venue

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, United States

Final result

full time
Portugal0 – 1Spain

Spain advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Portugal

none

Spain
  • Mikel Merinogoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    12.1%
  • 0-1
    9.8%
  • 1-2
    9.4%
  • 0-2
    8.2%
  • 1-0
    7.0%
  • 2-1
    6.8%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 44%Possession56%
  • 5Shots7
  • 0On target3
  • 0Corners5
  • 4Fouls7
  • 1Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
8 Portugal18 draw16 Spain

42 meetings · goals 50–78

  • 2025-06-08nations league2–2draw
  • 2022-09-27nations league0–1Spain
  • 2022-06-02nations league1–1draw
  • 2021-06-04friendly0–0draw
  • 2020-10-07friendly0–0draw
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.