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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 16 · Match 92

MexicovsEngland

2 – 3Full time

Mon 6 Jul, 00:00 UTC your time · Sun 5 Jul, 18:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio Azteca, Mexico City, Mexico

Final result

full time
Mexico2 – 3England

England advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Mexico
  • Julián Quiñonesgoal
  • Raúl Jiménezgoal
England
  • Jude Bellingham2 goals
  • Harry Kanegoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    14.8%
  • 0-0
    13.9%
  • 1-1
    13.7%
  • 0-1
    11.4%
  • 2-0
    8.6%
  • 2-1
    7.5%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 72%Possession28%
  • 13Shots3
  • 2On target2
  • 8Corners0
  • 6Fouls4
  • 1Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
2 Mexico1 draw7 England

10 meetings · goals 4–27

  • 2010-05-24friendly1–3England
  • 2001-05-25friendly0–4England
  • 1997-03-29friendly0–2England
  • 1986-05-17friendly0–3England
  • 1985-06-09friendly1–0Mexico
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.