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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 32 · Match 83

PortugalvsCroatia

2 – 1Full time

Thu 2 Jul, 23:00 UTC your time · Thu 2 Jul, 19:00 GMT-4 at the venue

BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

Final result

full time
Portugal2 – 1Croatia

Portugal advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Portugal
  • Cristiano Ronaldogoal
  • Gonçalo Ramosgoal
Croatia
  • Ivan Perisicgoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    12.8%
  • 1-0
    10.3%
  • 2-1
    8.9%
  • 0-1
    8.3%
  • 0-0
    7.9%
  • 2-0
    7.6%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 6Shots10
  • 2On target6
  • 3Corners5
  • 1Fouls6
  • 1Offsides3

Head to head

historical meetings
7 Portugal2 draw1 Croatia

10 meetings · goals 19–8

  • 2024-11-18nations league1–1draw
  • 2024-09-05nations league2–1Portugal
  • 2024-06-08friendly1–2Croatia
  • 2020-11-17nations league3–2Portugal
  • 2020-09-05nations league4–1Portugal
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.