WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group H · Match 66

UruguayvsSpain

your time · Fri 26 Jun, 18:00 GMT-6 at the venue

Estadio Akron, Zapopan, Mexico

Model prediction

win / draw / win
22.2% Uruguay33.3% draw44.5% Spain

Expected goals 0.67 – 1.08

Rating

What's driving this: Spain hold a decisive rating edge — +210 Elo over Uruguay.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Uruguay 1946.5 · Spain 2156.1
    Spain +210 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Uruguay #17 · Spain #2
  • Altitude
    Spain concede ~1.6 km in Zapopan
    -0.26 goal rate
  • Recent form
    Uruguay 2W-2D-2L · Spain 5W-1D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Uruguay
DWWLDL
Spain
DWWWWW

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.