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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Third-place playoff · Match 103

FrancevsEngland

4 – 6Full time

Sat 18 Jul, 21:00 UTC your time · Sat 18 Jul, 17:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, United States

Final result

full time
France4 – 6England

England advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
France
  • Kylian Mbappé2 goals
  • Bradley Barcolagoal
  • Ousmane Dembélégoal
England
  • Bukayo Saka3 goals
  • Declan Ricegoal
  • Ezri Konsagoal
  • Jude Bellinghamgoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    13.6%
  • 1-0
    11.2%
  • 0-1
    10.8%
  • 0-0
    10.3%
  • 2-1
    7.8%
  • 1-2
    7.5%

Head to head

historical meetings
11 France6 draw17 England

34 meetings · goals 45–75

  • 2022-12-10wc finals2–1France
  • 2017-06-13friendly3–2France
  • 2015-11-17friendly0–2England
  • 2012-06-11continental finals1–1draw
  • 2010-11-17friendly2–1France