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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Quarter-final · Match 98

SpainvsBelgium

2 – 1Full time

Fri 10 Jul, 19:00 UTC your time · Fri 10 Jul, 12:00 GMT-7 at the venue

SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, United States

Final result

full time
Spain2 – 1Belgium

Spain advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Spain
  • Fabián Ruizgoal
  • Mikel Merinogoal
Belgium
  • Charles De Ketelaeregoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    11.6%
  • 1-0
    9.7%
  • 2-1
    9.7%
  • 2-0
    8.6%
  • 1-2
    6.3%
  • 0-1
    6.2%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 74%Possession26%
  • 8Shots3
  • 5On target1
  • 2Corners1
  • 7Fouls12
  • 2Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
11 Spain6 draw5 Belgium

22 meetings · goals 44–22

  • 2016-09-01friendly2–0Spain
  • 2009-09-05wc qualifier5–0Spain
  • 2008-10-15wc qualifier2–1Spain
  • 2005-10-08wc qualifier2–0Spain
  • 2004-10-09wc qualifier2–0Spain
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.