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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 16 · Match 90

CanadavsMorocco

0 – 3Full time

Sat 4 Jul, 17:00 UTC your time · Sat 4 Jul, 12:00 GMT-5 at the venue

NRG Stadium, Houston, United States

Final result

full time
Canada0 – 3Morocco

Morocco advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Canada

none

Morocco
  • Azzedine Ounahi2 goals
  • Soufiane Rahimigoal

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 0-1
    14.5%
  • 1-1
    13.7%
  • 0-0
    13.4%
  • 1-0
    11.1%
  • 0-2
    8.6%
  • 1-2
    7.7%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 6Shots4
  • 1On target3
  • 6Corners1
  • 9Fouls8
  • 2Offsides1

Head to head

historical meetings
0 Canada1 draw3 Morocco

4 meetings · goals 4–10

  • 2022-12-01wc finals1–2Morocco
  • 2016-10-11friendly0–4Morocco
  • 1994-06-01friendly1–1draw
  • 1984-10-24friendly2–3Morocco
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.