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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 32 · Match 77

FrancevsSweden

3 – 0Full time

Tue 30 Jun, 21:00 UTC your time · Tue 30 Jun, 17:00 GMT-4 at the venue

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States

Final result

full time
France3 – 0Sweden

France advance

This match is finished, so the model no longer carries odds for it. The result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
France
  • Kylian Mbappé2 goals
  • Bradley Barcolagoal
Sweden

none

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    12.1%
  • 2-0
    11.3%
  • 1-1
    11.1%
  • 2-1
    9.8%
  • 0-0
    7.2%
  • 3-0
    6.8%

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 10Shots5
  • 6On target2
  • 3Corners1
  • 6Fouls4
  • 2Offsides0

Head to head

historical meetings
12 France5 draw6 Sweden

23 meetings · goals 34–23

  • 2020-11-17nations league4–2France
  • 2020-09-05nations league1–0France
  • 2017-06-09wc qualifier1–2Sweden
  • 2016-11-11wc qualifier2–1France
  • 2014-11-18friendly1–0France
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.