WC2026 Prediction EngineWC2026 Prediction Engine
Group stage · Group E · Match 34

EcuadorvsCuraçao

your time · Sat 20 Jun, 19:00 GMT-5 at the venue

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, United States

Model prediction

win / draw / win
55.2% Ecuador27.6% draw17.2% Curaçao

Expected goals 1.44 – 0.68

Rating

What's driving this: Ecuador hold a decisive rating edge — +352 Elo over Curaçao.

Why — factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Ecuador 1918.7 · Curaçao 1566.8
    Ecuador +352 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Ecuador #23 · Curaçao #82
  • Recent form
    Ecuador 2W-4D-0L · Curaçao 3W-3D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

Dixon-Coles

Scorelines populate when the run's extras are published.

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Ecuador
WDDDDW
Curaçao
DWDWWD

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.