Projected Bracket

The model's single most-likely knockout path.

Projected champion
Projected champion
Spain

Spain’s projected path to the title

Round of 32 → Final, the model's most-likely route.

Round of 32
Spain60.7%
Algeria17.3%
Round of 16
Colombia25.6%
Spain47.4%
Quarter-finals
Spain50.9%
Belgium24.6%
Semi-finals
France30.6%
Spain41.8%
Final
Spain36.6%
Argentina35.2%
projected slotprojected champion's path

The projected matchups are the model's single most-likely arrangement — each slot shows its most-probable occupant and the W/D/L for that hypothetical tie. It is not a claim that each game plays out this way; slots resolve to real teams as results are entered, and the bracket re-projects from there.