Tournament forecast

Every club at every stage of the 2026/27 Champions League, drawn, before matchday 1.

Title odds conditional on the league-phase finish: a top-8 seed goes straight to the round of 16, a 9 to 24 finish plays a two-legged playoff first. The gap is the cliff.

ClubChampion%Straight to last 16finish 1st to 8thbars 0 to 25%Via the playofffinish 9th to 24thbars 0 to 25%Cliffgap, pp

Arsenal23.1

24.8%

18.8%

6.0

Bayern Munich14.5

15.7%

11.6%

4.1

PSG13.9

15.9%

11.3%

4.6

Man City13.4

16.3%

11.5%

4.7

Liverpool7.6

9.1%

6.0%

3.1

Real Madrid6.7

8.0%

5.3%

2.7

Barcelona6.3

8.5%

5.0%

3.5

Inter3.5

4.7%

2.6%

2.1

Aston Villa1.5

2.5%

1.1%

1.4

Sporting CP1.4

2.4%

1.3%

1.1

Man United1.3

2.4%

1.2%

1.3

Atletico Madrid1.3

2.5%

1.2%

1.3

Play-offs: who pays the cliff8 ties

Knockout phase play-offseach section feeds one position in each half; which tie feeds which is drawn

PO-Aranks 15/16 v 17/18

R16-1 in half 1R16-2 in half 2

PO-A1leg 2: ranks 15/16

27COM22%

3BAR78%

PO-A2leg 2: ranks 15/16

36SAB8%

10POR92%

PO-Branks 13/14 v 19/20

R16-3 in half 1R16-4 in half 2

PO-B1leg 2: ranks 13/14

11MUN55%

18LEN45%

PO-B2leg 2: ranks 13/14

31SHA15%

8AVI85%

PO-Cranks 11/12 v 21/22

R16-5 in half 1R16-6 in half 2

PO-C1leg 2: ranks 11/12

14PSV17%

1PSG83%

PO-C2leg 2: ranks 11/12

1ARS79%

13AMA21%

PO-Dranks 9/10 v 23/24

R16-7 in half 1R16-8 in half 2

PO-D1leg 2: ranks 9/10

27GAL22%

1LIV78%

PO-D2leg 2: ranks 9/10

15DOR33%

2RMA67%