Kylian Mbappé

Forward

FranceCenter forwardReal Madrid

Projections as of 19 Jul 2026, conditioned on 104 results

Forward output

actual / expected

Goals10 / 7.0 exp

Assists4 / 1.9 exp

Shots41 / 46.9 exp

Key passes18 / 20.6 exp

Goals trajectory

Expected Actual

Through 8 matches10 actual / 7.0 projected

Goal projection

open play + penalty

Expected goals7.0(3.7–10.4)

Open play6.1

Penalty1.0

Non-penalty xG5.8

Finishing factor1.06×

Finishing: finishes roughly in line with their xG (neutral). How the goal split works

Positional percentiles

vs other forwards

Where Kylian ranks among players of the same role on the baseline metrics (higher is better).

Pass pct99th

Prog carries98th

Shots98th

xG97th

Prog passes91th

xA81th

Key passes79th

Match log

8 played

Match	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	Source
Match 17	90	2	0	4	0	Auto · Fotmob
Match 42	89	2	0	8	2	Auto · Fotmob
Match 61	87	0	2	4	4	Auto · Fotmob
Match 77	85	2	0

Probabilistic projections. How projections are built

Baselines powered by StatsBomb · Live actuals: Auto · Fotmob · Run live__20260719T221057Z__cond104__seed42 · Independent project, not affiliated with FIFA.