MexicovsEngland

England advance

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Expected goals 1.13 – 0.88

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

• Elo rating

  Mexico 1918.1 · England 2035.8
  England +118 · moderate
• FIFA ranking
  Mexico #15 · England #4
• Host advantage

  Mexico playing on home soil
  +0.20 goal rate
• Altitude

  England concede ~2.2 km in Mexico City
  -0.38 goal rate
• Recent form
  Mexico 5W-1D-0L · England 6W-0D-0L

• 1-0
  14.8%
• 0-0
  13.9%
• 1-1
  13.7%
• 0-1
  11.4%
• 2-0
  8.6%
• 2-1
  7.5%

• 72%Possession28%
• 13Shots3
• 2On target2
• 8Corners0
• 6Fouls4
• 1Offsides0
• 2Yellow cards3
• 0Red cards1

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

10 meetings · goals 4–27

• 2010-05-24friendly1–3England
• 2001-05-25friendly0–4England
• 1997-03-29friendly0–2England
• 1986-05-17friendly0–3England
• 1985-06-09friendly1–0Mexico