PresairaPresairaWorld Cup 2026
ForecastMatchesGroupsPredictPlayers

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
Round of 16 · Match 91

BrazilvsNorway

1 – 2Full time

Sun 5 Jul, 20:00 UTC your time · Sun 5 Jul, 16:00 GMT-4 at the venue

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States

Final result

full time
Brazil1 – 2Norway

Norway advance

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Brazil
  • Neymargoal
Norway
  • Erling Haaland2 goals

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
52.3% Brazil25.1% draw22.6% Norway

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.01

Rating

What's driving this: Brazil hold a decisive rating edge: +174 Elo over Norway.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Brazil52.3%draw25.1%Norway22.6%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Brazil 2046.2 · Norway 1872.2
    Brazil +174 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Brazil #6 · Norway #31
  • Recent form
    Brazil 3W-1D-2L · Norway 6W-0D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    12.0%
  • 1-0
    11.1%
  • 2-1
    9.6%
  • 2-0
    9.6%
  • 0-0
    7.3%
  • 0-1
    6.6%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Brazil
LWWDLW
Norway
WWWWWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 32%Possession68%
  • 6Shots5
  • 2On target3
  • 4Corners2
  • 4Fouls3
  • 1Offsides0
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings
0 Brazil2 draw2 Norway

4 meetings · goals 5–8

  • 2006-08-16friendly1–1draw
  • 1998-06-23wc finals1–2Norway
  • 1997-05-30friendly2–4Norway
  • 1988-07-28friendly1–1draw