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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Round of 32 · Match 85

SwitzerlandvsAlgeria

2 – 0Full time

Fri 3 Jul, 03:00 UTC your time · Thu 2 Jul, 20:00 GMT-7 at the venue

BC Place, Vancouver, Canada

Final result

full time
Switzerland2 – 0Algeria

Switzerland advance

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Switzerland
  • Breel Embologoal
  • Dan Ndoyegoal
Algeria

none

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
40.6% Switzerland26.6% draw32.8% Algeria

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.25

Rating

What's driving this: Switzerland have a moderate rating edge (+80 Elo).

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Switzerland40.6%draw26.6%Algeria32.8%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Switzerland 1916.3 · Algeria 1836.2
    Switzerland +80 · moderate
  • FIFA ranking
    Switzerland #19 · Algeria #28
  • Recent form
    Switzerland 4W-2D-0L · Algeria 5W-0D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    12.7%
  • 1-0
    9.4%
  • 2-1
    8.7%
  • 0-1
    8.3%
  • 1-2
    7.7%
  • 0-0
    7.3%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Switzerland
DWDWWW
Algeria
LWWWWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 49%Possession51%
  • 7Shots3
  • 3On target0
  • 2Corners1
  • 5Fouls7
  • 0Offsides1
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings
2 Switzerland0 draw0 Algeria

2 meetings · goals 4–1

  • 1986-05-06friendly2–0Switzerland
  • 1983-11-30friendly2–1Switzerland