your time · Mon 29 Jun, 19:00 GMT-6 at the venue
Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe, Mexico
Morocco advance on penalties (2–3)
Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.
Expected goals 1.05 – 0.98
What's driving this: Netherlands have a slight rating edge (+38 Elo).
Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.
Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.
3 meetings · goals 5–4