PresairaPresairaWorld Cup 2026
ForecastMatchesGroupsPredictPlayers

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
Group stage · Group K · Match 72

DR CongovsUzbekistan

3 – 1Full time

Sat 27 Jun, 23:30 UTC your time · Sat 27 Jun, 19:30 GMT-4 at the venue

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, United States

Final result

full time
DR Congo3 – 1Uzbekistan

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
DR Congo
  • Yoane Wissa2 goals
  • Fiston Mayelegoal
Uzbekistan
  • Eldor Shomurodovgoal

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
28.6% DR Congo35.6% draw35.8% Uzbekistan

Expected goals 0.75 – 0.88

Rating

What's driving this: Uzbekistan have a slight rating edge (+64 Elo).

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
DR Congo28.6%draw35.6%Uzbekistan35.8%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    DR Congo 1711.4 · Uzbekistan 1775.2
    Uzbekistan +64 · slight
  • FIFA ranking
    DR Congo #46 · Uzbekistan #50
  • Recent form
    DR Congo 3W-2D-1L · Uzbekistan 3W-2D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 0-0
    20.0%
  • 0-1
    16.8%
  • 1-0
    14.3%
  • 1-1
    13.3%
  • 0-2
    7.6%
  • 1-2
    5.7%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
DR Congo
WLWDWD
Uzbekistan
WDDWWL

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 15Shots1
  • 4On target0
  • 1Corners1
  • 1Fouls7
  • 1Offsides0
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.