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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group K · Match 71

ColombiavsPortugal

0 – 0Full time

Sat 27 Jun, 23:30 UTC your time · Sat 27 Jun, 19:30 GMT-4 at the venue

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, United States

Final result

full time
Colombia0 – 0Portugal

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
34.0% Colombia27.6% draw38.4% Portugal

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.31

Even

What's driving this: The model rates these sides near-level, closer to a coin-flip.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Colombia34.0%draw27.6%Portugal38.4%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Colombia 1985.9 · Portugal 1989.2
    Portugal +3 · negligible
  • FIFA ranking
    Colombia #13 · Portugal #5
  • Recent form
    Colombia 2W-3D-1L · Portugal 4W-1D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    13.1%
  • 0-1
    10.1%
  • 1-0
    9.3%
  • 0-0
    8.4%
  • 1-2
    8.3%
  • 2-1
    7.8%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Colombia
WWDDDL
Portugal
WLDWWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 12Shots4
  • 3On target0
  • 4Corners2
  • 9Fouls2
  • 1Offsides1
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.