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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group J · Match 70

JordanvsArgentina

1 – 3Full time

Sun 28 Jun, 02:00 UTC your time · Sat 27 Jun, 21:00 GMT-5 at the venue

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, United States

Final result

full time
Jordan1 – 3Argentina

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Jordan
  • Mousa Tamarigoal
Argentina
  • Giovani Lo Celsogoal
  • Lautaro Martínezgoal
  • Lionel Messigoal

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
12.5% Jordan21.9% draw65.5% Argentina

Expected goals 0.68 – 1.88

Rating

What's driving this: Argentina hold a decisive rating edge: +424 Elo over Jordan.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Jordan12.5%draw21.9%Argentina65.5%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Jordan 1720.3 · Argentina 2144.7
    Argentina +424 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Jordan #63 · Argentina #3
  • Recent form
    Jordan 2W-3D-1L · Argentina 4W-1D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 0-1
    14.2%
  • 0-2
    13.6%
  • 1-1
    10.2%
  • 1-2
    9.3%
  • 0-3
    8.5%
  • 0-0
    8.0%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Jordan
LWDWDD
Argentina
LWDWWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 25%Possession75%
  • 2Shots7
  • 1On target1
  • 1Corners4
  • 8Fouls2
  • 0Offsides1
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.