PresairaPresairaWorld Cup 2026
ForecastMatchesGroupsPredictPlayers

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
Group stage · Group L · Match 68

CroatiavsGhana

2 – 1Full time

Sat 27 Jun, 21:00 UTC your time · Sat 27 Jun, 17:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, United States

Final result

full time
Croatia2 – 1Ghana

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Croatia
  • Nikola Vlasicgoal
  • Petar Sucicgoal
Ghana
  • Derrick Luckassengoal

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
55.3% Croatia25.7% draw18.9% Ghana

Expected goals 1.60 – 0.83

Rating

What's driving this: Croatia hold a decisive rating edge: +309 Elo over Ghana.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Croatia55.3%draw25.7%Ghana18.9%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Croatia 1942.3 · Ghana 1633.1
    Croatia +309 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Croatia #11 · Ghana #74
  • Recent form
    Croatia 5W-1D-0L · Ghana 5W-1D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    13.8%
  • 1-1
    12.0%
  • 2-0
    11.3%
  • 2-1
    9.3%
  • 0-0
    9.2%
  • 0-1
    6.9%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Croatia
WWWDWW
Ghana
WWWDWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 3Shots5
  • 2On target1
  • 3Corners2
  • 7Fouls6
  • 1Offsides2
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.