PresairaPresairaWorld Cup 2026
ForecastMatchesGroupsPredictPlayers

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
Group stage · Group L · Match 67

PanamavsEngland

0 – 2Full time

Sat 27 Jun, 21:00 UTC your time · Sat 27 Jun, 17:00 GMT-4 at the venue

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States

Final result

full time
Panama0 – 2England

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Panama

none

England
  • Harry Kanegoal
  • Jude Bellinghamgoal

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
19.2% Panama24.7% draw56.1% England

Expected goals 0.89 – 1.69

Rating

What's driving this: England hold a decisive rating edge: +214 Elo over Panama.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Panama19.2%draw24.7%England56.1%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Panama 1822.1 · England 2035.8
    England +214 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Panama #33 · England #4
  • Recent form
    Panama 3W-3D-0L · England 6W-0D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 0-1
    12.5%
  • 1-1
    11.7%
  • 0-2
    10.9%
  • 1-2
    9.6%
  • 0-0
    8.0%
  • 1-0
    6.4%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Panama
WWDWDD
England
WWWWWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 38%Possession62%
  • 10Shots8
  • 0On target4
  • 2Corners2
  • 6Fouls10
  • 3Offsides1
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings
0 Panama0 draw1 England

1 meetings · goals 1–6

  • 2018-06-24wc finals1–6England