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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group C · Match 49

ScotlandvsBrazil

0 – 3Full time

Wed 24 Jun, 22:00 UTC your time · Wed 24 Jun, 18:00 GMT-4 at the venue

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, United States

Final result

full time
Scotland0 – 3Brazil

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Scotland

none

Brazil
  • Vinícius Júnior2 goals
  • Matheus Cunhagoal

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
16.5% Scotland24.3% draw59.2% Brazil

Expected goals 0.79 – 1.72

Rating

What's driving this: Brazil hold a decisive rating edge: +274 Elo over Scotland.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Scotland16.5%draw24.3%Brazil59.2%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Scotland 1772.6 · Brazil 2046.2
    Brazil +274 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Scotland #43 · Brazil #6
  • Recent form
    Scotland 4W-1D-1L · Brazil 3W-1D-2L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 0-1
    13.7%
  • 0-2
    12.1%
  • 1-1
    11.4%
  • 1-2
    9.5%
  • 0-0
    8.6%
  • 0-3
    6.9%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Scotland
WLWWWD
Brazil
LWWDLW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 44%Possession56%
  • 10Shots10
  • 5On target5
  • 4Corners3
  • 7Fouls9
  • 0Offsides1
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings
0 Scotland2 draw8 Brazil

10 meetings · goals 3–16

  • 2011-03-27friendly0–2Brazil
  • 1998-06-10wc finals1–2Brazil
  • 1990-06-20wc finals0–1Brazil
  • 1987-05-26minor tournament0–2Brazil
  • 1982-06-18wc finals1–4Brazil