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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

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Group stage · Group G · Match 39

BelgiumvsIran

0 – 0Full time

Sun 21 Jun, 19:00 UTC your time · Sun 21 Jun, 12:00 GMT-7 at the venue

SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, United States

Final result

full time
Belgium0 – 0Iran

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
42.3% Belgium26.9% draw30.8% Iran

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.18

Rating

What's driving this: Belgium have a slight rating edge (+70 Elo).

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Belgium42.3%draw26.9%Iran30.8%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Belgium 1945.6 · Iran 1876
    Belgium +70 · slight
  • FIFA ranking
    Belgium #9 · Iran #21
  • Recent form
    Belgium 4W-2D-0L · Iran 4W-1D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    12.8%
  • 1-0
    10.1%
  • 2-1
    8.9%
  • 0-1
    8.3%
  • 0-0
    7.7%
  • 2-0
    7.5%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Belgium
WDWDWW
Iran
WLDWWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 59%Possession41%
  • 12Shots5
  • 3On target2
  • 2Corners1
  • 2Fouls4
  • 1Offsides2
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 1Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.