United StatesvsAustralia

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.21

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

• Elo rating

  United States 1825.2 · Australia 1858.4
  Australia +33 · slight
• FIFA ranking
  United States #16 · Australia #27
• Host advantage

  United States playing on home soil
  +0.20 goal rate
• Recent form
  United States 4W-1D-1L · Australia 4W-2D-0L

• 1-1
  12.8%
• 1-0
  9.9%
• 2-1
  8.7%
• 0-1
  8.5%
• 0-0
  7.7%
• 1-2
  7.5%

• 54%Possession46%
• 1Shots3
• 0On target1
• 4Corners2
• 4Fouls8
• 1Offsides0
• 3Yellow cards2
• 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

4 meetings · goals 5–3

• 2025-10-14friendly2–1United States
• 2010-06-05friendly3–1United States
• 1998-11-06friendly0–0draw
• 1992-06-13friendly0–1Australia