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An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
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Group stage · Group B · Match 8

QatarvsSwitzerland

1 – 1Full time

Sat 13 Jun, 19:00 UTC your time · Sat 13 Jun, 12:00 GMT-7 at the venue

Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, United States

Final result

full time
Qatar1 – 1Switzerland

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Qatar
  • Miro MuheimOG
Switzerland
  • Breel Embologoal

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
19.2% Qatar23.1% draw57.6% Switzerland

Expected goals 0.98 – 1.86

Rating

What's driving this: Switzerland hold a decisive rating edge: +295 Elo over Qatar.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Qatar19.2%draw23.1%Switzerland57.6%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Qatar 1621.6 · Switzerland 1916.3
    Switzerland +295 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Qatar #55 · Switzerland #19
  • Recent form
    Qatar 3W-1D-2L · Switzerland 4W-2D-0L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-1
    11.0%
  • 0-1
    10.6%
  • 0-2
    10.1%
  • 1-2
    9.9%
  • 0-3
    6.3%
  • 0-0
    6.2%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Qatar
WDLWLW
Switzerland
DWDWWW

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 38%Possession62%
  • 2Shots12
  • 1On target1
  • 0Corners6
  • 6Fouls3
  • 0Offsides0
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings
1 Qatar0 draw0 Switzerland

1 meetings · goals 1–0

  • 2018-11-14friendly1–0Qatar