United StatesvsParaguay

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Expected goals 1.30 – 0.94

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

• Elo rating

  United States 1825.2 · Paraguay 1842.8
  Paraguay +18 · negligible
• FIFA ranking
  United States #16 · Paraguay #40
• Host advantage

  United States playing on home soil
  +0.20 goal rate
• Recent form
  United States 4W-1D-1L · Paraguay 3W-2D-1L

• 1-0
  13.5%
• 1-1
  13.4%
• 0-0
  11.1%
• 0-1
  9.6%
• 2-0
  9.0%
• 2-1
  8.4%

• 58%Possession42%
• 9Shots7
• 2On target1
• 1Corners1
• 8Fouls11
• 0Offsides1
• 1Yellow cards4
• 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

9 meetings · goals 12–7

• 2025-11-15friendly2–1United States
• 2018-03-27friendly1–0United States
• 2016-06-11continental finals1–0United States
• 2011-03-29friendly0–1Paraguay
• 2007-07-02continental finals1–3Paraguay