PresairaPresairaWorld Cup 2026
ForecastMatchesGroupsPredictPlayers

An independent, calibrated AI forecast. Not affiliated with FIFA or any official World Cup organisation.

For interest and analysis only: not betting advice.

Methodology · how the forecast is built.

Built by Mohammed Ehab Elnomany · probabilistic, not an oracle.

  • Forecast
  • Matches
  • Groups
  • Predict
  • Players
Group stage · Group B · Match 3

CanadavsBosnia and Herzegovina

1 – 1Full time

Fri 12 Jun, 19:00 UTC your time · Fri 12 Jun, 15:00 GMT-4 at the venue

BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

Final result

full time
Canada1 – 1Bosnia and Herzegovina

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Goals and cards

scorers and bookings
Canada
  • Cyle Laringoal
Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Jovo Lukicgoal

Pre-match prediction

pre-match odds
61.1% Canada22.4% draw16.4% Bosnia and Herzegovina

Expected goals 1.90 – 0.87

Rating

What's driving this: Canada hold a decisive rating edge: +221 Elo over Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Win probability over time

across published runs
100%75%50%25%0%first forecastlatest
Canada61.1%draw22.4%Bosnia and Herzegovina16.4%

Each point is a forecast published during the tournament; the series ends at kickoff and does not change afterward.

Why: factor breakdown

every clause from real data
  • Elo rating
    Canada 1848.6 · Bosnia and Herzegovina 1627.8
    Canada +221 · large
  • FIFA ranking
    Canada #30 · Bosnia and Herzegovina #65
  • Host advantage
    Canada playing on home soil
    +0.20 goal rate
  • Recent form
    Canada 3W-2D-1L · Bosnia and Herzegovina 1W-4D-1L

Most-likely scorelines

pre-match · Dixon-Coles
  • 1-0
    11.5%
  • 2-0
    11.3%
  • 1-1
    10.7%
  • 2-1
    9.8%
  • 3-0
    7.1%
  • 0-0
    6.6%

Recent form

last 6 competitive
Canada
DWDWWL
Bosnia and Herzegovina
DDDWDL

Match stats

from fotmob
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 6Shots3
  • 3On target1
  • 0Corners3
  • 6Fouls12
  • 1Offsides0
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

Head to head

historical meetings

No previous meetings on record.