MexicovsSouth Africa

Final score. The model's pre-match prediction is shown below for reference; the result now feeds the forecast for the rest of the tournament.

Expected goals 1.75 – 0.67

• Elo rating

  Mexico 1918.1 · South Africa 1637.5
  Mexico +281 · large
• FIFA ranking
  Mexico #15 · South Africa #60
• Host advantage

  Mexico playing on home soil
  +0.20 goal rate
• Altitude

  South Africa concede ~0.5 km in Mexico City
  -0.09 goal rate
• Recent form
  Mexico 5W-1D-0L · South Africa 3W-1D-2L

• 1-0
  15.2%
• 2-0
  13.6%
• 1-1
  10.8%
• 0-0
  9.2%
• 2-1
  9.1%
• 3-0
  7.9%

• 64%Possession36%
• 6Shots1
• 2On target1
• 1Corners0
• 7Fouls5
• 1Offsides0
• 0Yellow cards1
• 1Red cards2

Display only. Team stats never feed the model or the result.

4 meetings · goals 10–5

• 2010-06-11wc finals1–1draw
• 2005-07-08continental finals1–2South Africa
• 2000-06-07minor tournament4–2Mexico
• 1993-10-06friendly4–0Mexico